Friday, January 16, 2009

More about Stimulus and Eugene Fama

Continuing from my previous post to address subsequent arguments...

Eugene Fama acknowledges a point that Brad DeLong made about inventories (that much or all of the reduced investment from a fiscal stimulus is unintended inventory investment, which is technically counted as investment but which is not useful). Professor Fama argues that the amount of unintended inventory investment is not very large.

But again I take issue with both the original Fama argument and the DeLong counterargument. First, consider the latter. The Keynesian model does not depend on inventories. Economists often teach the model to undergraduates without mentioning inventories. And yet in the Keynesian model (in the simple version, or when there is a liquidity trap), private investment does not get displaced by the increased federal deficit. Rather private savings increases just enough to finance the increased deficit.

For example, suppose there is $100 billion tax cut, and suppose the marginal propensity to consume is 0.8. The people who receive the cut save $20 billion. The people in the first round of multiplier effects get $80 billion in extra income and save $16 billion of that. And so on. As I hinted in my previous post, if you calculate the infinite sum (or estimate it by simulation, if you don't like calculus), it comes to exactly $100 billion. It's no accident that the additional savings exactly compensates for the government's additional borrowing.

The Keyensian model is a reasonable special case in which the compensation is exact. More generally, I think it would be unreasonable to expect private savings not to rise at all in response to an increased deficit, and indeed, in the case where there is a liquidity trap, I think the exact compensation in the Keynesian model is a very good approximation to what would actually happen.

Per Professor Fama:
I want to restate my argument in simple terms.
  1. Bailouts and stimulus plans must be financed.

  2. If the financing takes the form of additional government debt, the added debt displaces other uses of the funds.

  3. Thus, stimulus plans only enhance incomes when they move resources from less productive to more productive uses.
Are any of these statements incorrect?
As to the first point, it depends on what you mean by "financed." Certainly the government needs to obtain cash, but that's a rather trivial matter. The Fed can create any cash the government needs, and as I argue elsewhere, such money creation isn't even necessary when the interest rate is zero, because T-bills have become essentially equivalent to money. In the purely monetary sense of the word "finance," the Treasury can effectively finance the stimulus by printing its own money.

But I don't think the argument is about financing in the strictly monetary sense. The savings-investment equation, which is presented as central to the argument, says that
in any given year private investment must equal the sum of private savings, corporate savings (retained earnings), and government savings (the government surplus, which is more likely negative, that is, a deficit)...
The issue is whether the government has reduced its savings in the sense of having reduced its net assets. The answer depends on whether you believe in Ricardian equivalence (as an underlying fact about government borrowing, not necessarily as a description of household behavior). If you do, then the government is using its future power of taxation to create a new asset called "deferred revenue," which it can set off against its new liability, leaving its net assets unchanged. It's like when someone borrows money to buy stock on margin: they haven't reduced their savings, they've merely added an offsetting asset and liability to their balance sheet. In that case, government savings (or rather dissavings) is unaffected by the stimulus. If you don't believe in Ricardian Equivalence, then yes, the deficit does need to be financed, but...

As to the second point, it depends on what you mean by "displaces." If you mean there is displacement ceteris paribus for the changes in the total amount of funds available, then yes, it does displace other uses of funds. But my point is that it is unreasonable to assume that the total amount of funds available will be constant. Rather, it is almost certain to rise significantly, as the government's debt is itself a vehicle for net private savings (in contrast, for example, to personal debt, which is savings for one private party and dissavings for another). In the absence of Ricardian Equivalence, new wealth has been created, so there is more to save. To avoid saving more, people would have to increase their consumption dramatically.

Thus, as to the third point, no:   unless people behave in accordance with Ricardian Equivalence, the stimulus almost certainly also mobilizes idle resources, by increasing total income (i.e. adding to total wealth), thus allowing private saving to rise even as consumption also rises. Aside from Ricardian Equivalence, and excluding the very special and unlikely case where private savings do not rise, the only way the stimulus would fail to mobilize resources is if those resources were not really idle in the first place (in which case the stimulus would only cause inflation).


UPDATE: More from Brad DeLong, and the story is starting to sound a little bit more like one I recognize:
...increases in government spending lead to unexpected declines in inventories and unexpected declines in inventories lead to firms to expand production, which leads to increases in income and saving.
The initial inventory disinvestment (in response to demand created by the stimulus) is only a minor part of the story. And inventories only matter at all because they happen to be the way firms get products to market. My logic would work even in a world without inventories, where firms could instantaneously change production in response to demand. In real terms, the new demand would result immediately in more production, which would raise real incomes and lead to more real saving out of those incomes.

That's the "real" story, but I understand Professor Fama to be telling a financial story rather than a "real" one. He uses words like "funds" that have meaning only in a financial world. The nominal national income accounts are compiled in financial terms -- based on accounting statements and the like -- so the national income identity must hold in financial terms, and I take that to be the basis of Professor Fama's argument.

Therefore I state my counterargument in financial terms: financially speaking, the increase in income occurs as soon as money changes hands. The most straightforward case is a tax rebate. As soon as people receive the money, it is income, whether or not anything new has been produced, and whether or not any change in inventories has occurred. (Certainly the people who receive the rebate think it is already income, as do their accountants, as do the people who compile the income side of national accounts.) They have a choice whether to save or spend that income. Any income they spend will go to someone else, who will have the same choice, and so on until it all gets saved. Technically, some of what I call saving will take the form of inventory disinvestment, but that's a minor point. It would work the same way if all production were done on the spot.


UPDATE2: Leigh Caldwell's comment makes me realize that I have exaggerated the importance of the government's creation of new wealth, because my same logic applies when the source of the increased consumption is a change in consumer behavior. The general principle is that every act of consumption by one entity (household or government) is an act of saving (or inventory reduction) by someone else.

When I take money out of savings to purchase something from a company, the company records part of the purchase as a profit and part as a reduction in inventory. The profit immediately becomes part of retained earnings and thus corporate savings. If the firm hires another worker in order to replenish its inventories, the cost of replenishing those inventories becomes the worker's income. Any part of that income that the worker chooses to spend becomes part of someone else's income (or someone else's inventory reduction), and so on until there is an overall increase in savings just large enough to offset exactly the original reduction in my savings. (I'm assuming all inventories are eventually replenished. Otherwise part of my purchase becomes not savings but a reduction in unproductive inventory investment, but the funds available for productive investment are unchanged.)

Ultimately, the only way to change the quantity of savings is by investment. For example, suppose a company decides to hire a programmer to develop a major piece of custom software that it will use in its business. The programmer's pay becomes part of his or her savings (until it is spent and becomes part of someone else's savings), but there is no reduction in retained earnings (savings) on the part of the company, because the company records the software as a capital asset. Thus the company's decision to make an investment has resulted in an increase in total savings. The same process works in reverse, if the company decides to lay off a programmer that would have been developing software. In the more general case, investment typically involves purchases from other businesses, and then the same logic in the paragraph above applies, except that purchaser does not reduce its savings, since it books the investment as a capital asset.




DISCLOSURE: Through my investment and management role in a Treasury directional pooled investment vehicle and through my role as Chief Economist at Atlantic Asset Management, which generally manages fixed income portfolios for its clients, I have direct or indirect interests in various fixed income instruments, which may be impacted by the issues discussed herein. The views expressed herein are entirely my own opinions and may not represent the views of Atlantic Asset Management.

116 comments:

Leigh Caldwell said...

I think if you want to count the government's ability to raise future tax revenues as an asset, you also need to count a liability on those who the taxes will be raised from. On this basis, there isn't really a net increase in wealth. However that's a minor quibble.

I think you are inadvertently giving too much credence to Professor Fama's original argument by glossing over the logical flaw in it.

His new summary, which you quote, is a better argument, and is the basis of the Keynesian proposal: bring idle resources into use.

I believe Brad DeLong has it right: the debate has arisen because Fama's original article was flawed. It was based on the classical model in which all markets immediately clear, but posited that "there are idle resources" which cannot happen in that model.

The debate should be about whether and how those resources can be brought into use. All the points about debt and savings are, to a first approximation, a wash (acknowledging that there can be second order effects on incentives).

Anonymous said...

I think I agree with just about everything you’ve said. Allow me to play it back this way:

I liked Montagu Norman’s “weekend model” as excerpted by Delong (http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2009/01/eugene-fama-rederives-the-treasury-view-a-guestpost-from-montagu-norman.html#comments). It’s a reasonably close differential approximation to the instantaneous calculus logic that is required to understand all this, I think.

In a way you’ve implied that type of model here; e.g., when you say, “Perhaps, with today’s technology, you could spend it within a few seconds, but the instant after you receive the funds, your savings necessarily increase.”

This sort of thinking is very important stuff. It really should be a sort of prototype analysis.

In a very simple model, the first order change from a government stimulus would be an increase in GDP by the amount of the stimulus and an increase in saving by the same amount. New income generated by the stimulus must be saved because prior expenditure and investment is already accounted for in prior income. Then the investment multiplier kicks as people start to spend their new income, expanding GDP and incomes as second and higher order effects.

In linking the real economy interpretation to the financial one, I think it’s important to recognize Ricardian equivalence as balance sheet “transaction” but not an income statement one. If one “believes” in it, it means that today’s government borrowing must be offset by a “write-down” of household net worth by the amount of the Ricardian equivalence. The corresponding new income created is then added back at the same time. But the ultimate resolution of the postulated (now reserved) Ricardian equivalence will depend on the ultimate resolution of the Keynesian multiplier effects over future income and future income periods. Cumulative income effects over future periods will eventually converge or not converge to (i.e. fall short of or exceed) the balance sheet allowance.

Ricardian equivalence is a tax asset for the government and a tax liability for the private sector.

So whether or not you believe in Ricardian equivalence is irrelevant in terms of describing the dynamics of current and future income. It is only relevant to how you describe household wealth. In other words, the creation of new income as you describe it is independent from the creation of new wealth, which depends on the Ricardian equivalence debate. And the Ricardian equivalence debate is best framed by accounting for its probability in the form of a reserve against it in the accounting of household wealth (and in the accounting of government “wealth”, if we could ever get to that point).

You say, “My logic would work even in a world without inventories, where firms could instantaneously change production in response to demand.”

That seems logical and correct and right to me. I think the basic Keynesian model is best described in simple terms that way. The inventory adjustment is a real world first derivative adjustment to that model.

In connection with the inventory wrinkle, I wrote on Delong’s post:

“Inventories are the partial derivative of investment on the output side. New demand from any source is capable of converting a surplus inventory/investment state to a deficient inventory/investment state, given other demand and its effect on remaining inventory. An increase in aggregate employment, production, output, incomes, consumption, investment, and saving is then required to return inventory/investment to a balanced state as a proportion of the resulting total economy. The identity of saving and investment holds at any instant of the process, and does not prevent the absolute size of saving and investment from fluctuating as a function of its proportion of the total economy at the same instant.”

Nick Rowe said...

I think the problem is that everyone is forgetting what happens to the rate of interest and the excess supply of money.

Very short version: the excess demand for loans causes the rate of interest to rise, which creates an excess supply of money, which people lend to the government.

Slightly longer version here: http://worthwhile.typepad.com/worthwhile_canadian_initi/2009/01/loanable-funds-and-liquidity-preference-delong-vs-fama.html

Anonymous said...

Re UPDATE2,

I think the company records the entire purchase as a reduction in inventory. Purchase proceeds are used to pay off funding reflecting the cost of goods sold, while leaving cash profits in the bank as the offset to retained earnings.

Neither is cash in the bank an ‘investment’ nor is retained earnings ‘savings’ in national accounts terms. Both investment and savings have declined at the point of sale, by the amount of the sale.

The subsequent rebuilding of inventory and income is separate from the previous conversion of investment to consumption. The multiplier effect starts from the level of inventory investment remaining after the sale and is then determined by the new activity that follows.

Nick Rowe said...

Andy: let me try again. Suppose, just for the sake of argument, that both the demand and the supply of money were perfectly interest-inelastic. So you get a vertical LM curve, so fiscal policy wouldn't work, so Fama would be right. The excess demand for loans would create a rise in the rate of interest, but wouldn't create an excess supply of money, and so wouldn't create an increased demand for goods. You need to talk about the rate of interest and excess supply of money to explain to Fama why he's wrong.

brad said...

I think inventories *have* to be in there. Without signals provided by changing prices, how do firms know they want to expand production unless they find themselves doing unexpected inventory disinvestment?

At least, that's the way I always understood it...

Andy Harless said...

If inventories have to be in there, then the whole thing only works in an industrial economy. Imagine a country where all the manufactured goods are imported. Do inventories still have to be in there?

I think the logic needs to be able to work for such an economy (especially since it's not such a distant approximation to the US today), but you can't have inventories of lectures, inventories of backrubs, inventories of concerts, inventories of advice. (Technically, you could have inventories of software, inventories of DVD's, etc., but those are only at the trivial retail level: if stores are running out of Windows XP, that's not necessarily a signal that you need to develop Vista.)

So how do professors, massage therapists, musicians, consultants, software developers, etc., know when they want to expand production? I guess when they start making more sales, but there is no disinvestment involved.

Anonymous said...

everyone forgets about it because everyone thinks that it goes nowhere, like it or not we still pay for these taxes without assuring we claim it back.

Anonymous said...

everyone forgets about it because everyone thinks that it goes nowhere, like it or not we still pay for these taxes without assuring we claim it back.

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there is no accountability with any of this stuff and Obama. we voted for him and he isn't helping us. I kinda wish we were getting a 2010 stimulus check but it looks like there won't be a santa coming this year.

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نجد ايضا ان البنات مغرمين بالعاب باربى نظرا لانهم يضعون انفسم مكان باربى ويريدون اصدقائهم البنات ان يساعدوهم بافضل الطرق لتحقيق احلامهم مثلما يفعلون ذلك مع الجميلة باربى.فلذلك تجدهم حرصيين للغاية على تلبية جميع طلبات باربى فى اللعبة حتى تنتهى باربى من مغامراتها ومن عملها على اكمل وجه.
العاب بنات 01 - العاب تلبيس بنات ومكياج وطبخ
العاب بنات - العاب تلبيس بنات ومكياج والطبخ

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Tongkat Ali wächst als Strauch und kann Höhen von bis zu 12 Metern erreichen. Typischerweise dauert es 10-15 Jahre bis solche Ausmaße erreicht werden. Der Strauch trägt anfangs grüne Blüten die sich im Laufe der
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Allerdings sind die Blüten im Hinblick auf die Wirkung der Pflanze weniger interessant. Der wertvolle Teil verbirgt sich unter der Erde.
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Nora Pittman said...

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Make sure you talk with your loved ones about your decision to have vascular surgery. Even though it doesn't require a significant amount of recovery time, there is nothing wrong with having support from your family. They can make your recovery much easier to deal with. Keep in mind that this procedure can greatly improve your health and extend your life.

Unknown said...

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If you are searching for a Phone Repair Center in Athlone and Mullingar, first you need to be sure about the good reputation of theservice center. The technical people should have outstanding knowledge on a particular product to provide all sort of services related to the phone such as repair facilities of broken LCD screens; broken flex cables, bad charge port, faulty keypad, defective microphone, speaker, and any kind of problems of the phone. This is because the phone may have several problems and not limited to a single problem. As the phones are developing using high-tech technology the repair person should have previous experiences working on related product and have access to up-to-date information. A top class phone repair service center should be able to provide unlocking facilities of all GSM phone for the international travelers.

People are using phone for various purpose and by this way sometimes they find their most loveable phone not working well or functioning very poorly. These problems may bother you and will force you to find a phone repair center as tele-conversation is essential for daily business. Before visiting a service provider, you will need to think about the quality of the provider otherwise, you may capture bitter experience with your phone. You will find many service centers available in the market. Some are new with less quality. They try making fool their customers. Getting the best phone repair center is not easy task. So you have to collect maximum information about the phone repair centers to fine out the best one.

A certified Phone Repair Center for a Perfect Phone Repair Mullingar and Phone Repair Athlone, which can be trusted as it guarantees all services it offers. So it is very important to know the service center is authorized or not to avoid any kind of problems. A good repair center should be able to repair all kinds of phones. It should use good quality tools and machinery to find out the specific problems of the phone. If they do not use high quality tools, the phone could start repeating the problems again. It should be able to provide you a price range and exact time of delivery. If they don't give specific time to deliver your phone it seems they have not much knowledge of repairing phone.

For this reason, when you are searching for a phone repair center, it is very important that the repair center you prefer must be reliable. A good repair center must have wide range of experiences with better quality control and testing procedures.

Nora Pittman said...

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In order to clean dishes as effectively, dishwashers rely on several components, which can suddenly become defective at the most inconvenient time. Whether a dishwasher is failing to drain water or has suddenly become substantially noisier, our Dishwasher Repair Los Angeles experts can quickly diagnose the problem and complete the repair for a price anyone can easily afford. Common Problems -Door fails to latch -Failing to properly clean dishes -Excessive noise -Leaking water.

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Nora Pittman said...

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Unknown said...

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Lace front wigs are hand-made with lace front cap & machine weft at back. Lace front wigs are manufactured with a thin lace that extends from ear to ear across the hairline. When you receive the wig, the lace will be quite long in the front. Cut and style according to your preference, as you will need to apply adhesive along the front of the wig. Once the wig is applied, you will still have Lace Wigs with a very natural appearance.
TeamWigz Provide the Best Lace Front Wigs and Lace Wigs in Johannesburg and South Africa.

how to rank your website or youtube channel (basic) said...

360Guide was born from passion for action sports, passion for writing and interest in the Internet. We have been snowboarding and surfing for a long time. We also enjoy wakeboarding and mountain biking and actually any sport that gives you adrenaline, soul, lifestyle, puts you outside and connects you with nature. Mountain Bike T-shirts
From all the sports mentioned on this website, surfing is our biggest love. Since conditions over here are pretty bad, much more energy and inner fire must be given to the sport. Surfing freezing cold waters, shitty windswells, making our own surfboards and traveling all over the world… all this is behind us and we are looking forward to more of the same.

Snowboarding is our second love… there is nothing more beautiful than powder covered mountains on a crisp bluebird sky morning. And all others are not far behind.

The main goal of this website is to provide people with information on each of these sports. Info on equipment, choosing the right stuff, what matters and what doesn’t. A few words on the history of sport, where do we come from and where are we going. Tips on technique, how to guides for beginners. Basically all the things you wished you knew when you were just starting out and all the important info that will help you make an informed buy of your next surfboard, snowboard or whatever it is that you will be buying. The most important guides, tips and info can be found directly from the drop down menu at the top of the site. For the rest of the articles click on the desired sport in the same menu and a list of all articles related to that sport will be shown. Like at the end of this about us section everything linked to this site is displayed.

how to rank your website or youtube channel (basic) said...

360Guide was born from passion for action sports, passion for writing and interest in the Internet. We have been snowboarding and surfing for a long time. We also enjoy wakeboarding and mountain biking and actually any sport that gives you adrenaline, soul, lifestyle, puts you outside and connects you with nature. Mountain Bike T-shirts
From all the sports mentioned on this website, surfing is our biggest love. Since conditions over here are pretty bad, much more energy and inner fire must be given to the sport. Surfing freezing cold waters, shitty windswells, making our own surfboards and traveling all over the world… all this is behind us and we are looking forward to more of the same.

Snowboarding is our second love… there is nothing more beautiful than powder covered mountains on a crisp bluebird sky morning. And all others are not far behind.

The main goal of this website is to provide people with information on each of these sports. Info on equipment, choosing the right stuff, what matters and what doesn’t. A few words on the history of sport, where do we come from and where are we going. Tips on technique, how to guides for beginners. Basically all the things you wished you knew when you were just starting out and all the important info that will help you make an informed buy of your next surfboard, snowboard or whatever it is that you will be buying. The most important guides, tips and info can be found directly from the drop down menu at the top of the site. For the rest of the articles click on the desired sport in the same menu and a list of all articles related to that sport will be shown. Like at the end of this about us section everything linked to this site is displayed.

freya maya said...

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We charge some of the lowest prices in the industry. We do a volume business, so we buy our replacement parts in bulk and pass the savings on to you. Plus, we only use quality replacement parts, so you can rest assured you are getting great value for your money. We will let you know if it will cost less and be just as sturdy if we repair or replace any part that is worn or broken. That gives you the power to decide what it will cost to get your washer working and keep it working for a long time to come.

Unknown said...

If you live in Los Angeles and need Refrigerator Repair Service Los Angeles, we are the company to call. We have years of experience repairing all makes and models of refrigerator. Our service is fast, effective and affordable. Plus, we stand behind our work. If you want to make sure your refrigerator is functioning at optimal efficiency, call us. We will be there in a flash and can quickly solve any problem you are having with your refrigerator. Whether you have an older model refrigerator or one of the latest, high-tech ones, we can get it working in a flash. We have long provided the refrigerator repair Los Angeles residents need.

No matter what type of refrigerator repair problem you are having, we can help. We can fix your refrigerator if it won’t start, stopped cooling, won’t stop, is making strange noises, tripping the breaker, the compressor isn’t turning or any other issue.

We have a team of well-trained, highly skilled technicians with many years of experience repairing refrigerator of all types. Our technicians are licensed, bonded and insured. Plus they are prompt, courteous, friendly and professional. They have the tools and expertise necessary to identify and repair any problem you are having with your refrigerator. They will let you know if the problem is a part that is worn or broken and if the part needs to be repaired or replaced. They will let you know what the job will cost in advance, so you will not have any surprises when the work is done.

We charge some of the lowest prices for Refrigerator Repair Los Angeles in the industry. We do a volume business, so we buy our replacement parts in bulk and pass the savings on to you. Plus, we only use quality replacement parts, so you can rest assured you are getting great value for your money. We will let you know if it will cost less and be just as sturdy if we repair or replace any part that is worn or broken. That gives you the power to decide what it will cost to get your refrigerator working and keep it working for a long time to come.

Unknown said...

Are you searching for the perfect Appliance Repair Los Angeles? Did your appliance break down, and you need a qualified and experienced technician to fix it? Do not search any further; we do appliance repair Los Angeles, California. We are your one-stop shop for the highest possible quality Appliance Repair Los Angeles, Dryer Repair Los Angeles, Washer Repair Los Angeles, Refrigerator Repair Los Angeles, Dishwasher Repair Los Angeles and stove Repair Los Angeles and Oven Repair Los Angeles. We provide top-of-the-line appliance repair Los Angeles to cater to your damaged appliance as soon as possible. Our priority is the satisfaction of our clients. We draw from our more than 15 years of experience and updated technical knowledge to offer the best appliance repair Los Angeles, dryer repair Los Angeles, washer repair Los Angeles, refrigerator repair Los Angeles, dishwasher repair Los Angeles, and stove and oven repair Los Angeles. As a reputable repair company, we work hard to fulfill our corporate goals.

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Unknown said...

우리카지노 에 오신 것을 환영합니다. 국내 최고의 카지노사이트 에 가입하여 바카라사이트 에서 다양한 게임을 즐기시면서 대박의 기회를 놓치지마세요! 우리 카지노는 한국의 바카라 산업을 지배하는 카지노 사이트입니다. 우리 카지노는 한국 바카라 시장 점유율의 50 % 이상을 차지하는 10 년 이상 온라인 바카라 시장을 지배 해 왔기 때문에 우리 카지노를 모르는 사람은 거의 없습니다.

ARTICLE: 우리카지노는 대한민국의 바카라 업계를 장악하고 있는 카지노사이트 입니다. 우리카지노가 대한 민국에서 장악한 바카라 시장점유율이 50%가 넘고 10년 넘게 온라인 바카라 시장을 장악해왔기 때문에 대한민국에서는 우리카지노를 모르는 사람은 드뭅니다. 이런 바카라 업계의 독보적인 입지 때문에 늘 유명하거나 최고만을 찾는 사람들이 카지노사이트를 찾을때는 늘 우리카지노를 찾습니다.바카라를 처음 시작하시는 초보자분들에게도 우리카지노에서 카지노사이트를 시작하시기 좋은 환경입니다. 우리카지노사이트에서는 신규가입시 3만쿠폰을 지급 해주기 때문입니다. 사람들이 늘 1등만을 찾는 이유는 분명 있습니다. 다른 카지노사이트와는 달리 우리카지노를 이용하실시 에이전트를 끼고 게임을 하신다면 본사 이외에 활동쿠폰 및 오링쿠폰을 별도로 제공해주고 있기 때문입니다. 이러한 이유들 때문에 카지노사이트 업계에서 바카라를 즐기신다면 다들 우리카지노를 선호 하십니다. 카지노사이트에서 바카라를 이기기 물론 어렵습니다. 하지만 우리카지노의 에이전트를 끼고 바카라를 즐기신다면 승산이 있다고 봅니다. 우리카지노 에이전트의 연락처는 홈페이지로 연락하시면 언제든지 부담없이 소통가능 합니다. 카지노사이트를 선정할때는 바카라를 다른곳보다 유리하게 즐길 수 있는 카지노를 선택해야한다고 생각합니다. 그것이 바로 우리카지노 입니다. 이상으로 우리카지노와 바카라 카지노사이트 사이의 상관관계를 알아보았습니다 바카라사이트.

Unknown said...

Kami adalah supplier bandar judi online dari administrasi pembentukan nomor Prediksi Togel Singapura di Indonesia. Bukan organisasi spesialis Toto yang sembrono, bocoran kami adalah bandar judi online terpercaya dan otoritas di Indonesia. Administrasi kami telah melayani pemain Indonesia selama satu dekade terakhir.

Artinya kita bukanlah bagian baru dalam ranah taruhan togel online Indonesia. Saat ini kami memiliki banyak sekali keterlibatan yang menjadikan kami penjual lotere terbaik di Indonesia. Penjual togel online ini pun memiliki predikat sebagai organisasi spesialis terbaik dan terpercaya di Indonesia.

Dengan gelar terbaik dan paling terpercaya yang dimiliki oleh penjual lotere online, Anda akan merasakan kepuasan terbesar dari bermain taruhan lotere. Tidak ada alasan kuat untuk ikut campur dengan kami, karena bandar toto terbaik dan terpercaya ini juga memiliki izin resmi dari kantor administrasi bandar judi online global.

Itu menyiratkan, baik permainan maupun sifat administrasi kita sesuai dengan prinsip global. Ini juga merupakan jaminan bahwa kami biasanya membayar untuk hadiah pemain atau individu. Sejalan dengan ini, berapa pun jumlah kemenangan yang Anda peroleh bersama kami, kami akan secara konsisten membayar hadiahnya tanpa sedikit pun.

Bandar togel online juga akan menawarkan berbagai macam penawaran menarik untuk kamu para penggemar toto Indonesia. Dengan begitu, nantinya Anda akan mendapatkan pengalaman yang paling memuaskan. Karena itu, cukup akses prediksitogelsingapore.me untuk mendaftar sehingga Anda dapat memanfaatkan administrasi terbaik kami saat ini.

freya maya said...

Bamboo fencing is a decorative and environmentally friendly alternative to chain link or wood. Bamboo Matting has several advantages as a fencing material. First it is a grass and not a wood, so it takes less time to grow and replenish the supply. In fact it only takes 5 to 7 years to grow a mature bamboo plant for harvesting whereas wood takes 50 to 100 years. The second advantage of using bamboo as your fencing material is that it is strong and durable. Finally Bamboo Torches looks great.

Bamboo fencing can be used for several purposes. First you can use it to create a privacy fence that not only keeps people from seeing into your yard, but that also provides a secure perimeter of your property. Secondly you can use bamboo fence for a garden fence. Finally bamboo matts can also be used to build a Awesome Bamboo fence to decorate your garden or yard.

Bamboo fencing can be found just about anywhere. Most home improvement stores will have bamboo fence suppliers, and they will carry most of the bamboo fence supplies that you will need to both set up your bamboo fence and maintain it properly. For example they will offer the bamboo fencing materials, bamboo gates, bamboo fence panels, stains, and even hardware for assembling your bamboo fencing.

Like any other natural product, bamboo fencing will need to be treated to prevent decay and weathering. It is recommended that you apply a thin coat of UV resistant stain to your Bamboo Fencing and Bamboo Poles to protect the bamboo from the weathering effects of your climate. Also like any other natural product, bamboo will weather, dry out, and crack over time. The amount of weathering that your bamboo will experience will depend on the weather conditions in your area, and the amount of maintenance that you do.

Also, Bamboo matting are created using the same strong, durable, beautiful bamboo that bamboo floors are made of but they are portable and come in a variety of sizes. These mats can be found in sizes small enough to use in doorways or large enough to use as area rugs. The size choice depends on the office the mat is being used in and how much bamboo is desired in the office.

Bamboo Poles for Sale, a vital building tool that grows 10 times faster than trees, is an increasing popular choice of furniture in America's home.

Unknown said...

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MiltonBaker said...

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how to rank your website or youtube channel (basic) said...

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freya maya said...

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how to rank your website or youtube channel (basic) said...

Tongkat Ali is a plant originated in Indonesia, but also to be found in countries like Malaysia, Thailand, Laos and Vietnam. Its botanical name is Eurycoma longifolia, but commonly known as Tongkat Ali, Longjack and Pasak Bumi.

Since centuries Tongkat Ali has been used as herbal remedy because of its testosterone boosting properties. Well known in South-East Asia, Tongkat Ali is getting more and more popular in Europe and especially in the UK.

Tongkat Ali is the most potent herbal testosterone booster on the market. There are plenty of suppliers where you can buy Tongkat Ali in the UK. We will show you the facts that you need to be aware of to avoid getting ripped off.

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Unknown said...

Health Experts have proven that regular exercise coupled with a good diet allow you to live longer and healthier. In this busy day and age, not everyone has the time to go to the gym - resulting to a lot of overweight people that desperately need to exercise. A healthy alternative is for you to Buy Home Gym Equipments that you can store in your own home or even at your office. Here are some tips when buying home gym equipment.

First, know your fitness goals and keep these goals in mind when you are buying home gym equipment. One of the biggest mistakes that people make is buying the biggest or trendiest fitness machine simply because they like how it looks. More often than not, these end up gathering dust in your storage rooms or garage because you never end up using them. It is important to take note of what particular type of physical activity you want or enjoy doing before you buy your exercise machine. If you are looking to loose a few pounds and you enjoy walking or hiking, a treadmill is the best option for you. If you are looking to tone your lower body while burning calories a stationary bike is your obvious choice. Similarly, Special Equipments for Core Strength Exercises, Strength Training Weight Vests, Core Strength & Abdominal Trainers, Home Cardio Training, Strength Training Power Cages, Strength Training Racks & More.

Second, set aside a budget before Buying Home Gym Equipments. Quality exercise machines do not come cheap. They are constantly exposed to wear and tear when they are used properly. So, pick machines that are built to last and have passed quality certifications to get the most out of your money. If you are operating on a tight budget, think about investing in several weights, We can Provide you High Quality Home Gym Equipments at Very Low Prices for your Complete Uses: Core Strength Exercises, Strength Training Weight Vests, Core Strength & Abdominal Trainers, Home Cardio Training, Strength Training Power Cages, Strength Training Racks & More.

Its the Right Time to Buy Home Gym Equipments for you at Very Low Prices.

freya maya said...

เพียงสมัครสมาชิก และยันยืนข้อมูลครบ รับทันที เครดิตฟรี 300 แบบไม่ต้องฝาก alpha88bk.com รับประกันว่าเครดิตฟรีที่ได้มานั้นสามารถนำไปเล่นคาสิโน และสามารถถอนได้จริงหากสมาชิกทำเทิร์นโอเวอร์ได้ครบ หรือทำตามกติกาได้ครบทุกข้อ เครดิตฟรี300

เครดิตฟรีไม่ต้องทำเทิร์น ไม่มีในโลก แอดกล้าเอาหัวเป็นประกันเลย เว็บไหนที่บอกว่าไม่ต้องทำเทิร์นมันหลอกให้สมัครเอาข้อมูล 100% เพราะโปรโมชั่นเครดิตฟรีนี้ ทางเว็บไซต์ออกมาเพื่อให้สมัครมีทุนไว้ปั่นเยอะๆ แต่ก็มีคนบางกลุ่มที่คิดว่าเป็นการแจกเงินฟรี ซึ่งแอดอยากบอกว่าเข้าใจผิด

เทิร์น หรือ turnover มีไว้กันลูกค้าโกงเว็บ แต่เว็บก็ไม่ควรตั้งไว้สูงเกินไป หากเว็บไหนตั้งเกิน 10 เท่า ให้คิดไว้เลยว่าหลอกเอาเงินชัวร์ ถ้าแบบนี้แอดแนะนำว่าอย่ารับโปรเลยดีกว่า

Unknown said...

Whether you are starting a new business or expanding your office, it's important to think about how your business will evolve and how your space will work for you as your company grows. Here are 3 ways to make the most of your commercial office, now and for years to come.

1. Create Multi-functional Spaces to Change with the Needs of your Business

Functional layout is key in planning a space that can evolve with your ever growing business. Try maximizing your space by creating communal areas that can change with the demand of your market.

2. When planning your office space, Design and Build think not only about the number of employees that you currently have but how many more you might like to add in the future. Choose the amount of closed offices that are required and how you can maximize your communal areas for future growth.

2. Make an Impression with your Front Entrance

The entrance will make the biggest impact on your clients as they enter your place of business. Dress up your reception or entryway by adding bulkheads and ceiling systems like acoustic or coffered. Ceiling systems can add depth and dimension to your space and will take your entryway from cookie cutter to spectacular.

3. Reflect your Brand

Are you high end or efficient with no frills? Think about who you are as a company and let your place of business reflect that. Would you prefer to show off an upscale aesthetic or clean fresh modern lines? Whether you are traditional, cutting edge or cut and dry, let your place of business make a strong first impression.

Your workplace should give your clientele an overall feeling of who you are but also be a space that can effectively function for many years to come. We hope you feel inspired in creating the perfect office space to evolve with your ever growing business.

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Unknown said...

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